First Alert Weather: Cool and mainly dry today, and tracking our first chance for snow next week

First Alert Weather: Cool and Mainly Dry Today, Snow Potential Next Week

Rochester, N.Y. — Winds have weakened, placing us back to Green on the Threat Tracker. Only a few passing lake-effect showers appeared this morning, but the rain chances will fade by afternoon, giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-40s.

Today’s winds remain calm, with gusts around 20 mph. Conditions will change tomorrow as a new front moves in, bringing gusts near 30 mph and rain in the afternoon and evening.

Weekend Outlook

Saturday will stay cool and cloudy with lighter winds. By Sunday, a low-pressure system passes the region, delivering rain locally while communities across the lake may see the season’s first snow.

"Cold air will wrap around the system Sunday night, giving us our first chance for snow. The higher elevations have the best chance to see flakes."

Early Week Forecast

On Monday, colder air from Canada moves south, boosting lake-effect snow chances as northerly winds strengthen. Temperatures will remain below freezing, with both Monday and Tuesday staying in the 30s.

By Tuesday, winds shift northwest, increasing the likelihood of lake-effect snow off Lake Ontario. While significant accumulation isn’t expected yet, more precise forecasts will come in the next few days.

Wednesday brings a quick-moving clipper system with scattered rain and breezy conditions.

Summary

Overall, a cooler stretch is ahead with mostly dry conditions until late weekend, when colder air and potential snow arrive to mark the start of winter patterns.

Author’s summary: Forecasts show a mostly sunny and dry end to the week in Rochester, with colder air and the season’s first snow possible by late Sunday into early next week.

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News10NBC News10NBC — 2025-11-06

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