Why rooftop solar’s emissions math is changing

Rooftop Solar's Emissions Math is Changing

As clean energy grows, the limits of how it's measured are also expanding. A new study in Nature Climate Change warns that rooftop solar's emissions impact is shrinking as the grid becomes cleaner.

The initial solar panels significantly reduced coal's presence in the grid. However, progress in this area doesn't simply solve fossil-fuel problems, but rather reshapes them. As solar energy dominates and clean energy matures, new complexities arise, including managing abundance, balancing the grid, and redefining progress.

The paradox is simple: the cleaner the grid becomes, the harder it is for each new clean megawatt to make a difference.

California serves as a prime example, with increasing solar curtailment due to daytime generation pushing wholesale electricity prices to zero or even negative. This pattern, where an abundance of solar power creates economic and operational challenges, is emerging globally in solar-saturated grids. Nevertheless, in California, this trend is starting to shift.

Author's summary: Rooftop solar's impact is changing as the grid gets cleaner.

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pv magazine USA pv magazine USA — 2025-10-30

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