Met Office 10-day Trend
As early November progresses, the UK is currently experiencing an unusually mild spell, with temperatures significantly above the seasonal average. However, the latest 10-day forecast from the Met Office indicates that this relatively calm and warm period will shift towards more unsettled and changeable weather as the new working week begins.
Weather Patterns and Jet Stream Influence
The current weather pattern is influenced by a notably wavy jet stream over the Atlantic, creating several dips and troughs. One of these troughs extends towards Iberia and is expected to deepen in the coming days. This will keep low pressure anchored to the south and gradually moving up towards the UK by the weekend.
During the weekend, another dip in the jet stream is forecast to appear, leading to a larger Atlantic trough. The jet stream’s weakening and amplifying pattern is causing slow-moving weather systems next week, resulting in a battle between low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east of the UK.
Unseasonably Mild Temperatures
One striking characteristic of this mild spell is the warm temperatures for November. On Thursday, highs are predicted to reach the mid to high teens Celsius, with some areas experiencing 15, 16, or even 17°C—approximately six to seven degrees above typical values for this time of year.
"Bonfire Night 2025 was record breaking 🎆 Temperatures overnight only dropped to 14."
Author’s Summary
The UK enjoys an unusually mild early November, but a wavy jet stream will bring unsettled weather next week, with a mix of low and high pressures shaping slow-moving conditions.