Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction, Odds, and Pick for UFC Vegas 111

The lightweight bout between Ismael Bonfim and Chris Padilla is a key fight at UFC Vegas 111. The Bonfim brothers continue to be a major presence at this event, with Ismael (20-5) facing Chris Padilla (16-6) three fights before his younger brother headlines the card.

Fighter Backgrounds and Recent Form

Ismael Bonfim, 29, is coming off a tough first-round TKO loss to Nazim Sadykhov in February, which interrupted the momentum he had gained after defeating Vinc Pichel earlier in 2024. This marked the first knockout loss of his career. His recent record stands at 1-2 in the last three fights.

Chris Padilla, 30, remains undefeated in the UFC with a 3-0 record. After spending a decade competing on the West Coast regional scene, Padilla made an impressive UFC debut at Vegas 91, winning by submission over James Llontop on short notice. He followed up with a knockout victory over Rongzhu and a decision win over Jai Herbert.

UFC Vegas 111 Odds and Expectations

"Nobody expected Padilla to be this successful when he stepped up on short notice, yet here he is."
"Padilla might not be the best fighter Bonfim has ever faced, but he will test his will from the jump."

Summary

This fight highlights Padilla's rising UFC career as an underdog, set against Bonfim, who looks to rebound from a knockout loss and regain momentum in the lightweight division.

Author's Summary

Chris Padilla enters UFC Vegas 111 undefeated and poised to challenge Ismael Bonfim, who seeks to recover after his first knockout loss in a critical lightweight matchup.

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ClutchPoints ClutchPoints — 2025-11-07

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