Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9
Paul Kelly analyzes Fantasy Points projections to uncover value in player prop and touchdown bets, continuing his strong betting track record.
Performance History
- 2021: 75–47 (61.5%)
- 2022: 85–68 (55.6%)
- 2023: 79–59 (57.2%)
- 2024: 70–50 (58.3%)
- 2025: 32–18 (64.0%, +10.21 units)
Weekly Betting Focus
Each week, Paul shares his top picks for discrepancy-based player prop bets and “anytime” touchdown scorer wagers. After Week 8’s first losing record of the season, he’s determined to rebound in Week 9.
How the Process Works
A few years ago, Paul began manually comparing John Hansen’s player projections with sportsbook prop lines to identify mismatches. This process uncovered key betting opportunities based on statistical gaps.
"I looked for the largest discrepancies between John’s numbers and the books’ numbers to identify betting opportunities."
Today, Paul uses an automated prop finder tool that streamlines the process by pinpointing the biggest discrepancies, allowing him to select the most promising props and secure the best available odds.
Author’s Summary
Paul Kelly blends analytics and betting insight to identify weekly NFL prop and touchdown opportunities, maintaining a steady record of profitable picks in 2025.
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